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Ghassan, Hassan B. (): Test de l’équivalence Ricardienne par la Modélisation SVAR. Published in: Revue de l’Institut National de. Emmanuel Thibault, “L’Equivalence Ricardienne dans les Modèles de Croissance avec Accumulation du Capital”, Revue d’Économie Politique, vol. , hypotheses of rational expectations and Ricardian equivalence can not be anticipations rationnelles et de l’equivalence ricardienne n’est pas rejetee par les .

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Test de l’équivalence Ricardienne par la Modélisation SVAR – Munich Personal RePEc Archive

In recent years, a substantial amount of work has been carried out on the effects of debt-financed tax cuts on consumption. Journal of Political Economy. Finite lifetimes eqhivalence the effects of budget deficits on national saving. Of course, the present study is not the first one in doing comparative work on REH and in bringing forward such a dichotomy in consumer behaviour.

Martin Feldstein argued in that Barro ignored economic and population growth. EquifalenceGerald P. Nevertheless, he argued that “it is much less clear that this complication would imply systematic errors in a direction such that public debt issue raises aggregate demand. By using this site, you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.

L’Equivalence Ricardienne dans les Modèles de Croissance avec Accumulation du Capital

With quarterly series the highest order lag is usually set at 16 The specific gravity of consumption with respect to say taxes is the reciprocal of the FPE in riardienne bivariate consumption-taxes equation The variable with the highest spe cific gravity is added to the consumption equation with the lag order from the relevant bivariate equation similar procedure is followed every time an additional variable is added to the equation.

Under these conditions, if governments finance deficits by issuing bonds, the bequests that families grant to their children will be just ricardienn enough to offset the higher taxes that will be needed to pay off those bonds.

Controlling the real economy is possible perhaps even in a Keynesian style if government regains its potential to exert this control. Consumer behaviour in debt-ridden countries contrasts sharply with that in solvent ricardiennee. If these conditions hold, cuts in taxes imply a later pressure to raise taxes, since government has to fill the resource gap in the budget which is equivakence result of the initial tax cut.


In summary, Ricardian and non-Ricardian fonns of consumer behaviour seem to emerge from the preceding discussion, depending on the state of equivalende indebtedness, but regardless of the level of per capita income.

Substituting 4 into 3 and rearranging yields. After having performed the VAR for the augmented data set, the residuals corresponding to the additional observations are omitted, whereas the residuals pertaining to the sample period are utilized as unanticipated series in the consumption equation.

Research by Chris Carroll, James Poterba [14] and Lawrence Summers [15] shows that the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis is refuted by their results.

All papers reproduced by permission. In the context of the preceding discussion, the individual is expected to minimize the present discounted disutility1 of his combined tax burden, i.

Testing the Debt-Illusion Hypothesis – Persée

Similarly, the same tax burden may affect private consumption in a variety of ways, should it be associated with differing amounts of fiscal deficit. We avoid imposing formal short run and long run constraints, because this may overestimate the compensation rate and bias the estimation of structural multipliers. In empirically testing the validity of the traditional view vis-a-vis Ricardian equivalence, researchers rely heavily on the sign and statistical significance of the coefficients on a number of fiscal variables, each of them considered independently: The actual and imputed tax burdens combined constitute what may be called composite disutility.

In contrast with much of the recent work on this topic, the theoretical framework used in the present study allows us to shift the emphasis to a composite variable reflecting the substitution of debt for taxes. In this minimization process, the period-t individual’s budget constraint is given by.

In such a framework, the equivalence proposition is tested in terms of the sign and magnitude of the parameter estimates of certain key explanatory variables1. In this respect, Ricardian equivalence clarifies the exact conditions necessary for countercyclical fiscal policies. Buchanan also criticized Barro’s model, noting that “[t]his is an age-old question in public finance theory”, one already mooted by Ricardo and elaborated upon by de Viti.


Accordingly, they are disposed to compromise with lower spending levels out of current equivaence — instead of opting for temporary welfare improvements — in an attempt to allocate evenly over time the adverse effects of the heavier future tax burden.

This happens especially in cases where:. As most recent studies on consumer behaviour prefer Euler over structural equations2, we are going to follow suit. Barro took the question up independently in the s, in an attempt to give the proposition a firm theoretical foundation.

Retrieved from ” https: In an attempt to interpret the diversification of consumer behaviour across countries, Nicoletti argues that public concern over the necessity of fiscal res. Their finding [15] is that increases in government deficits is followed by decreases in private saving. We avoid imposing formal short run and long run constraints, because this may overestimate the compensation rate and bias the estimation of structural multipliers.

If differences in the size of public debt can be shown to lie at the heart of excess consumption sensitivity, we could expect more sharp departures from the predictions of Ricardian equivalence in debt-ridden than in solvent countries.

You can help correct errors and omissions. The interpretation given in the present text is that individuals in solvent coun. Following Rossi [], we directly compute the parameters of the disutility ricadienne, without explicitly solving the consumer’s optimization problem, by estimating the marginal condition from 1 and 2 as follows: Therefore, the private and public sectors can be integrated by combining consumer’s and government’s budget constraints. An interpretation of this dichotomy in consumer behaviour is provided via the debt-illusion hypothesis.

Journal of Economic Perspectives 3, Conclusions The primary accomplishment of this paper was the empirical investigation of the debt neutrality hypothesis in a pooled cross-section, time-series macro-theoretic model. Rkcardienne appropriate lag length for each variable in each equation is specified by using the Akiake’s final prediction error FPE criterion.